Searching for the equity premium
نویسندگان
چکیده
A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with recursive utility, search frictions, and capital accumulation is a good start to forming unified theory of asset prices business cycles. The reproduces an equity premium 4.27% per annum, stock market volatility 12.42%, average interest rate 1.97%, while retaining plausible cycle dynamics. are strongly countercyclical, whereas the consumption growth largely unpredictable. Because wage inertia, dividends procyclical despite smoothing via investment. welfare cost cycles huge, 33.6%.
منابع مشابه
Estimating the Equity Premium
To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that links the cross-section of stock prices to the level of the equity premium. Under plausible conditions, valuation ratios such as the dividend-price ratio should n...
متن کاملEstimating the Equity Premium
To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that links the cross-section of stock prices to the level of the equity premium. Under plausible conditions, valuation ratios such as the dividend-price ratio should n...
متن کاملEstimating the Equity Premium
Existing empirical research investigating the size of the equity premium has largely consisted of a series of innovations around a common theme: producing a better estimate of the equity premium by using better data or a better estimation technique. The equity premium estimate that emerges from most of this work matches one moment of the data alone: the mean difference between an estimate of th...
متن کاملThe Risk Premium for Equity: Explanations
The equity premium puzzle shows that using standard parameters and setup, the Consumption-based Capital Asset Pricing Model’s (CCAPM’s) prediction of the premium associated with systematic risk is out by an order of magnitude. The object of this paper is to consider the implications of each of the broad classes of explanations of the equity premium puzzle for resource allocation, welfare and po...
متن کاملThe Declining U.S. Equity Premium
This study demonstrates that the U.S. equity premium has declined significantly during the last three decades. The study calculates the equity premium using a variation of a formula in the classic Gordon stock valuation model. The calculation includes the bond yield, the stock dividend yield, and the expected dividend growth rate, which in this formulation can change over time. The study calcul...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Economics
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1879-2774', '0304-405X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.024